China’s Labour Shortages & Higher Costs (2 Viewers)

King & Country

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Hi Guys,
Re the above two interconnected subjects which a couple of collectors have brought up.
Strange as it may seem the world’s most populous nation does indeed have a labour shortage of skilled workers. Sadly, this is to be expected as “everybody and his brother” is moving their production capacity to the People’s Republic. China is, quite literally, what Britain was after the Industrial Revolution of the 19th century, the “Workshop of the World”.
Take the “toy soldier business” as one small microcosm of this situation. When we began manufacturing in mainland China back in the late 1980’s we were the first and only all-metal hand-painted toy soldier manufacturer doing that. Since then Frontline…Britains…Conte and half a dozen more have followed us in. I’m not complaining just stating the fact.
At the same time Southern China as a whole has a booming economy with growth rates of more than 10% per annum. Most factories there have bulging order books and need both extra energy and workers to keep up with the demand for their services and skills.
More energy requires more fuel…more product requires more raw materials…more work requires more workers and so on and so on.
Cost of living in China generally is on the rise…in Southern China, where most of our factories are located its astronomical, by Chinese standards
Workers recruited in distant, poorer provinces soon realize that their wages don’t go far enough to compensate for their expensive new life styles in the South. So, wages are on the rise…In Southern China, on average, workers wages rose by a staggering 25-35% last year alone.
Simultaneously fuel costs to transport goods as well as provide basic utilities at the factories also rose dramatically. Then there’s the raw materials…
It all adds up to a substantially more expensive basic cost structure than before. Speaking for K&C alone we’ve managed to absorb many of these additionals through increased sales and productivity…and reducing some but not all of our overheads.
At the same time being actually based in China and going into the mainland and traveling far and wide we’re able to “source” new factories and seek out favourable deals for both ourselves and our collectors. This is a major advantage we have over many of our overseas based competitors.
The People’s Republic of China is an economic miracle performing what, I believe, will ultimately benefit its people and its trading partners around the globe.
I’m just glad we’re in the right place…at the right time to take part in it.
Best wishes and …happy collecting!
Andy C. Neilson

P.S. Will there be price increases?
Probably yes, but not across the board. As I wrote earlier there are ways to absorb some and limit others. That’s what K&C will be doing. Nobody wants to price themselves out of the market – especially us!
 
Andy,

I think price increases are inevitable. I just hope they're not too high. However, I don't think this will stop anybody from purchasing K & C.
 
Well it may limit purchases though. I know i have limited mine a lot recently and thats before any more price rises have kicked in. I would hope not to see price rises any time soon considering we already pay a premium price. ( Yeah i know people are going to say its a fair price. Nevertheless it is expensive.)

Certainly the price rises in the UK are quite a leap usually. A $5 dollar increase for the US is a £5 increase for the UK.
 
Yes, that is true, it will limit them. I'm trying to limit mine right now, being selective about what new items I'm going to get.
 
Labor shortages & higher costs in China; surprise, surprise, surprise. Not a surprise; it has happened throughout history as countries develop economically and gain wealth. Witness Japan, Korea, and many others. Andy’s home country started this with the advent of the Industrial Revolution. This process of economic development and gaining wealth is what a great number of the world’s population want to see happen. We who have benefited from lower costs and easy availability must learn to pay more for what we want if we continue to purchase goods.

We are witnessing the largest mass migration in history with the rural population of China moving to the cities. It is projected that by 2017, China will surpass the US in CO2 emissions from its factories and automobiles. GM has predicted that new car sales in China will surpass the US market in 2009. The US is the largest market for new cars in the world.

I recently did a report for my County Board of Commissioners about some of the economic impacts facing our community. For that report I found that the US Consumer Price Index (cost-of-living or inflation) has risen by an average of 3 percent each year since 1913. Some years the CPI shrank (during the early and middle 1930’s) and some years the rate was inflationary to the extreme (during the 1970’s). This is a pretty good number to relate to pay although it is not a direct correlation. But if pay increases on average by 3 percent a year, then reasonably an increase in prices can be accommodated. The problem is that the growth rate of the Chinese economy is greater than the income rate of most of the world’s consumers.

The rate of growth in China is not a typical pattern, it is far greater than human kind has ever witnessed. The Chinese government must control this somehow. If a great disaster were to occur, the government would be faced with what has happened to all Chinese governments in times of famine, overthrow. In order to maintain power the People’s Party will do anything to ensure the current trend continues, but the world has a habit of not accommodating governments.

Time will tell. In the mean time, I will continue to purchase K&C and hope like hell that they continue to produce the items I am willing to pay for. I love this stuff.

Michael
 
In other words, the CHICOMS are succeeding at (GASP!) capitalism!!! Cool!
 
It's a very strange paradox: on one hand, you've got one of the last communist regimes, which still is supporting the ideals of communism, while on the other hand, you've got one of the most capilistic and economically strong countries in Asia and the world. It's a weak balance, but in the future I guess that one of the two factors will take control in China...

For now, I will continue to buy K&C. It's the only way I can profit of this low rate dollar compared to the Euro...
 
It is inevitable i suppose for the cost to go up,China is already having a major
Impact on my industry [building] with the cost of raw materials such as copper having risen already aprox 30% this year with another 10% next month followed by a 25% rise in june .So for plumbers and electricians
this has a huge impact on costs.And that is just one example.
I read an article recently that predicted china to be the worlds biggest economy in 20 years with a middle class of 250 million.
Scary stuff when you think a dictatorship could be the worlds #1 capatilist
economy.
 

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