For King and Country, a Continuing Challenge (1 Viewer)

Arnhemjim

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If any vestige of doubt remains regarding Andy Neilson’s challenge (more like plight) in incurring increasing labor costs, the following article should provide more than adequate substantiating details. Unfortunately between the “flat earth” and the internet, this pattern is bound to continue upwards. In these circumstances you don't have to "tell it to the Marines", they already know! He certainly has my understanding, regardless of the occasional historical/technical inaccuracy or oversight. Just don't include the word "Jasmine" in any correspondence, or he will really be in "deep yogurt"! Obviously the same circumstances apply to Figarti, as well as any other manufacturer, dependent upon the Chinese labor market.
Arnhemjim

Financial Times FT.com
Asia-Pacific
Chinese companies struggle to find workers

By Rahul Jacob in Hong Kong and Patti Waldmeir in Shanghai

Published: February 21 2011 13:10 | Last updated: February 21 2011 13:10

On one of the busiest recruiting days of the year, Yang Guowei of New Happiness Hair Accessory Company sits slumped behind a small table, one of many set up at a labour exchange in Yiwu, a city in China’s eastern province of Zhejiang.

Mr Yang is trying to recruit migrant workers as the Chinese New Year holidays wind down. He is offering a monthly salary of Rmb1800-Rmb3000 ($274-$456), and looking to hire 10 workers to make rhinestone-embellished hair baubles, but has had no takers in spite of offering wages 30 per cent higher than last year.

“I have been here for four days and I haven’t found anyone yet,” Mr Yang says.

Nearby, Langsha Knitting, one of the world’s largest sock producers which makes 1m pairs of socks a day, is having an easier time. Its human resources manager, Wang Lai, reports that he has signed up nearly all the 2,000 workers he needs.

Labour shortages for manufacturing workers have dominated headlines in the Chinese media as migrant workers return from their holidays, but some employers are proving more able to hire workers than others.

While smaller factories struggle with a nationwide tightening in the labour market, larger firms that offer better wages and benefits – those that are more likely to have HR managers – are able to recruit the staff they need.

Across the country, local governments have been raising the minimum wage. Next month, Guangdong province, home to a large share of China’s manufacturing, will raise the minimum wage by 18 per cent.

In Dongguan, a city in the province that is home to many of China’s light manufacturing factories, employers are promising an annual bonus, annual leave, and even rewards on their birthdays in a bid to sign up workers.

“Workers are God now,” complains Mr Yang.

His hyperbole underlines an important demographic shift. China’s once endless supply of workers is looking less infinite. The cohort of those entering the workforce, defined in China as those between 15 and 24 years old, peaked in 2005 at 227m and is expected to fall to 150m by 2024.

William Fung, who heads Li & Fung, the largest supply chain company in the world with half of its manufacturing operations in China that makes everything from garments to furniture, says the world must brace itself for “a bout of cost-push inflation.”

Alongside double-digit increases in the cost of labour in China in 2010 and 2011, input prices are also soaring. The price of cotton, for example, is up more than 150 per cent over the past year.

“The reality is that [suppliers] will have to pass these costs on,” says Mr Fung.

There is also likely to be a divergence between the fortunes of multibillion-dollar companies like Li & Fung, which saw half-yearly sales as of June 2010 rise by almost 20 per cent, and the small, low-tech Hong Kong firms many of which are based in the Pearl River Delta that are not well integrated into their developed world customers’ businesses.

Guangdong is not the only region facing labour shortages. In poor provinces like Anhui, which has traditionally been a source of migrant workers, higher wages nearer home mean more migrant workers are opting not to travel long distances to seek work.

Li Weining, 23, left his job at the Honda parts plant in Guangzhou that had a strike last year and chose instead a factory in Zhanjiang, 400km from the city, because it is closer to his home town and living costs are lower.

“I earn Rmb1,600, which is almost the same as at Honda,” says Mr Li.

Mr Li’s calculus for moving closer to home is simpler than that of multinationals comparing costs of production in different countries. Most companies are unlikely to shift manufacturing operations in China to countries like India or Bangladesh.

Dragonomics, a research consultancy, calculates that labour productivity in China grew by 13 per cent annually in apparel manufacturing between 2003 and 2010, offsetting most of the increase in wages. China’s rate of labour productivity growth comfortably outstrips that of Brazil, Vietnam, Indonesia and Turkey, it says.

Moreover, for industries such as the assembly of electronic components, efficient and tightly knit supply chains passing products from factories in Japan or Taiwan to the Pearl River Delta for labour-intensive work make it difficult to move manufacturing facilities elsewhere.

And behind the headlines about China’s exchange rate lurks a more lethal secret. China’s infrastructure is on a par with South Korea, according to the World Bank. Dragonomics says than means China combines “Third World wages with First World infrastructure”.

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2011.
 
Wow.. Thats a few minutes I won't get back and the very last line is not news nor is it rocket science to state everyone knows that and what they call a high wage is peanuts to the west.
Mitch
 
Wow.. Thats a few minutes I won't get back and the very last line is not news nor is it rocket science to state everyone knows that and what they call a high wage is peanuts to the west.
Mitch
Hi Mitch,
Sincere apologies, however it seems from some of the recent threads and replies, that the "full brunt of the attack" may not be fully appreciated by some of the forum membership. Hopefully some of my other postings have been more beneficial and worthwhile.
Regards,
Jim
 
Jim...

Not knocking you or why you placed it. just, that when we here off high wage demands I think we all view it in terms of what we can earn and in reality even though they are incressing they are still low and, certainly I would not swap positions. This type of post opens debates not for this forum IMO far beyond toy soldier costs.

Thats where I was coming from
Mitch
 
Interesting article Jim. While I knew the basics, it's good to get the underlying details to get a more complete picture.

Terry
 
Products being made now are more expensive. No doubt about that. My problem was with pricing previously made products that were already paid for, by dealers, at the new higher price.
 
Products being made now are more expensive. No doubt about that. My problem was with pricing previously made products that were already paid for, by dealers, at the new higher price.

I do not know anything about making a toy soldier. But, to make lets say a tank, right now, they have to buy the polystone at today's market price, Don't they??. So if that is true then the higher the product costs, the more it will cost the consumer. The only other alternative is to retire everything, that was made. before the increase of the price of the polystone, and such.
 
Products being made now are more expensive. No doubt about that. My problem was with pricing previously made products that were already paid for, by dealers, at the new higher price.


even playing field, all moved at the same time then there is no cinfusion over old infantry against new. Also a lot of the items that went up in price were out of stock and being re run etc.

Not a nice pill to swollow but in th elong run makes it all better
 
Regarding Tony's comment that

"a lot of the items that went up in price were out of stock and being re run etc".

I agree as my ordering experience in December was that quite a few items, in varied series, went out of stock and new production runs were scheduled (some are still not available). I did not keep records but it was very significantly higher than normal. I noticed one vehicle also. Obviously those items are now being produced at the higher costs and not at the cost when that item was first created. One example was the French Line Infantry where in mid December I was only able to get 2 of them (NA 100-110 group).

It should also be remembered there was 2 months prior notice about the price rises so if a collector did not have anything they had time to buy it even though the great majority had been released for 2 or more years.

The alternative would have been a lot of retirements and many gaps in some series.

Just my thoughts.

Regards
Brett
 
And how difficult is it for us companies to operate in china....both home depot and best buy announced their withdrawal from chinese market in last 7 days
 
Interesting article. I suspect this is will be the trend going forward. In a truly global economy large wage disparities cannot persist.

Likley means, over time, higher prices and inflation are ahead, for many products and services. Details beyond that are impossible to know in advance, however, as is the impact upon a small and highly discretionary market like toys soldiers.
 
I am struck by the ironic juxtaposition of increasing production costs in Asia (particularly China) and the devastating effect of large scale unemployment to certain areas of both the US and UK. Interestingly enough, even in places like Detroit that have suffered so dramatically by the collapse of industry, to find those with the skills and willingness to produce the kind of quality figures we have come to expect for those TS companies that manufacture in China...would be almost impossible at a cost that the consumer would be willing to absorb.

That is to say, who here would be willing to paint pants...paint pants...paint pants for $12 a day? Even if you round off the US minimum wage to $8 an hour, that is roughly a 1:5 ratio. Factor in local management and factory margin, you are probably looking at roughly $192 per foot figure. This is obviously an impossible proposition for both the consumer and subsequently the manufacturer.

Interesting quandry. It would keep me up nights as a TS manufacturer.

I know there must be some thinking, "there has to be another continent we can exploit for cheap labour, so we can avoid these TS cost increases!" And that is essentially what it comes down to. To keep this in some perspective, remember that this is a hobby derived entirely from disposable income...and perhaps that is what it needs to remain. Cost increases are inevitable in any industry. As a collector, of course I hate it...as a businessman, I expect it...as a member of humanity (I do occassionally fall into this category), I welcome it.

It is natural as costs increase to view oneself as the victim of overpricing, but I think it necessary to consider the greater social and economic context of where and why these increases occur. Like many of you, I believe that some things in life should be excellent and free: education, quality healthcare...and of course toy soldiers. So far I have come to expect to have to pay for all of them. Sigh...the disappointment of reality.
 

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