fmethorst
Command Sergeant Major
- Joined
- Feb 18, 2008
- Messages
- 2,442
"We have only to kick in the door and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down" - Adolf Hitler
I think it is fairly evident that the Germans really didn't expect the war against the Soviet Union to even take until the winter of 1941/42, let alone drag on for 4 more years. Germany simply did not have the industrial capacity to fight a protracted war. When the Soviet Union didn't collapse after the enormous losses of 1941 the writing was on the wall. With the United States augmenting their industrial capacity and then actively joining the conflict I don't see how Germany could have prevailed. I think the Panzer divisions are very telling of deteriorating situation. In the last 3 years of the war they were consistantly understrength in terms of both armored and non-armored vehicles. In recognition of this fact the organization of these units was changed numerous times towards a leaner make up. Even if the Germans had been able to produce more vehicles it is unlikely they would have been able to fuel them.
Fuel production in millions of metric tons (includes imports and production by synthetic fuel plants)
..........................1942..................1943....................1944
United States........183.9.................199.6......... ..........222.5
Germany..................7.7....................8. 9......................6.4
I think it is fairly evident that the Germans really didn't expect the war against the Soviet Union to even take until the winter of 1941/42, let alone drag on for 4 more years. Germany simply did not have the industrial capacity to fight a protracted war. When the Soviet Union didn't collapse after the enormous losses of 1941 the writing was on the wall. With the United States augmenting their industrial capacity and then actively joining the conflict I don't see how Germany could have prevailed. I think the Panzer divisions are very telling of deteriorating situation. In the last 3 years of the war they were consistantly understrength in terms of both armored and non-armored vehicles. In recognition of this fact the organization of these units was changed numerous times towards a leaner make up. Even if the Germans had been able to produce more vehicles it is unlikely they would have been able to fuel them.
Fuel production in millions of metric tons (includes imports and production by synthetic fuel plants)
..........................1942..................1943....................1944
United States........183.9.................199.6......... ..........222.5
Germany..................7.7....................8. 9......................6.4