Canadian Samurai
Staff Sergeant
- Joined
- Jul 17, 2007
- Messages
- 808
Why would our system be unable to adapt? What is your proposed alternative?
As has been pointed out earlier, democracy and capitalism have weathered far worse storms.
Being Canadian, wouldn't you be in favor of global warming? (sorry)
Capitalism, being a construct of the last three hundred years, has certainly never weathered anything like climate change or peak oil and I would argue democracy has not either. The rise of the modern standard of living in the last one hundred years, often ascribed to the merits of capitalism and democracy, has as much to do with humanity's discovery of millions of years worth of cheap solar energy locked away in oil, ready to be exploited for our benefit in an orgy of irresponsible wastefulness. Climate change is just a nasty by-product of this binge.
The converging crises of climate change, peak oil (and probably global pandemic) represent the greatest threats human civilization has ever faced. We have 6 billion people on the planet that depend on our agricultural system working flawlessly (just in time production in effect). If it falters, and it will if the climate shifts and we run low on the oil needed for farm machinery, pesticides, and global distribution, then a lot of the world is going to starve, even in rich countries, and the social order will break apart into anarchy. You can’t adapt to running out of food – not without massive population dieoff.
My proposed alternative is simply introducing capitalism to its ecological limits through a comprehensive suite of major policy tools ("cap and trade" quota systems, regulation and yes Ray, taxes). Yes, this means a lot more targeted government intervention in the market but it's in the interests of making us start to pay the full, true cost of our pollution, slow down our rate of fossil fuel depletion, and create markets for environmental protection so that entrepreneurs have an incentive to find innovative pollution reduction measures and alternative fuels. We also need to create an economy where most goods are made only when people request them rather than mass-producing them and trying to convince the public through advertising to buy things they don't need. And we need to start building a heck of a lot of nuclear power, quick.
Some sort of global environmental government is needed as well to bring some teeth to environmental enforcement to make sure single countries (be it China, India or the US) cannot free ride on the backs of others. Ray, the US is among the largest polluters in the world both in absolute terms and per capita (Canada and Australia are right up there too) so of course we will have the largest, but not necessarily most costly, reductions to make – that’s only fair to everyone else on earth who has not enjoyed the same standards of living as us for the last decades but who have also not polluted the atmosphere or depleted the oil all to heck. Regardless, we need to get over our nationalism and start working together on our little rock floating in space. On the space station do the astronauts bicker over the air because they’re Russian or American? No, they pull together because they’re all people of planet earth. Of course, a lot of these measures would actually reduce political friction in the world, by for example, getting America off foreign oil dependence.
Slowing and eventually stopping economic growth in favour of economic development (qualitative improvement of human well being) will require wrenching changes in a capitalist system founded on the assumption that the economy can continue to grow materially forever. But we have no alternative if we want to avert catastrophe. Measures like the ones I propose above will have a major effect on the economy - it won't ruin it, it will just change it into something that’s sustainable. But if our climate goes to heck and we burn through what's left of our oil overnight, then there won't be an economy anymore because everything we understand as "normal" economic conditions is based on affordable energy and a stable weather system.
Basically it means regarding these problems as seriously as we would mobilizing for war, except we have to gear down the economy instead of gearing it up. Yes, that means every citizen is going to have to make self-sacrifice and reduce their wasteful consumption of earth's remaining resources. No different than rationing during a war. Previous generations did it - why can't we?
Randy, a tax system need not be regressive. You use one tax to increase the price of oil at the pump and then you redistribute that income through lower income taxes on the bottom tax bracket. The effect is to discourage oil use while leaving the same amount of money in your pocket at the end of the day. Much of the transition in tax reform can be revenue neutral by taxing "bad" things (resource use, pollution) and reducing taxes on "good" things like income (including for the wealthy). You can also avoid this whole issue by giving everyone on earth a carbon budget separate from their income (google carbon credit cards - very interesting idea).
As for democracy, whatever alternative is proposed I think needs to ensure our leaders are properly qualified for the position they hold (meritocracy rather than our current trend toward aristocracy), that they have an incentive to think over the long term and not just the next election cycle, and that the public re-engages itself in the business of running society a lot more than just checking a box every four years between two candidates who stand for exactly the same crazy system that is causing the problems in the first place. I mean, everybody here should be on top of this very serious issue but we're not because our system encourages disengagement and laziness from current events as long as it doesn't affect our pocketbooks (which is why only economic measures that hit people there will be able to solve this crisis).
Tex, you're right, Canada will be one of the few countries to likely benefit on a whole from global warming (it will still devastate some provinces like Alberta). But I'm a citizen of the world as well, and Canada is supposed to be a moral leader which means doing our part for the rest of humanity. Right now of course our present government is towing the Bush (and former Australian) line that we, the richest countries on earth, cannot “afford” to reduce our emissions. It’s a joke really and we're letting them get away with it. Considering the links that Bush and Harper (my prime minister) have to the oil industry, they basically have a vested interest in ensuring we burn as much as possible until it is too late…
P.S. Ray, chaos theory makes predicting short term weather more difficult than medium term climate variation. For example, I can tell you New Mexico is going to start running out of water soon which will make it very difficult to live there. Same for most of the south-eastern and south-western US. As for proof, by the time we have 100% proof the catastrophes will already be happening, and climate change and oil depletion are irreversible which means we can’t reverse things to the way they were. That's why the only prudent and responsible thing to do is act now to minimize our potential maximum losses. There's a little youtube video going around that makes this point:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zORv8wwiadQ
We’re already running on borrowed time – at most we have ten years more before it’s too late to prevent some major social and economic breakdowns (and even then, we should still take as much action as possible to minimize the effects of those).
This is the greatest challenge human kind has ever faced - but it also finally gives our generation a special purpose beyond just the mindless everyday boredom of modern consumerism.