Make or break day for the Bosox and Rays. Best case scenario for the Bosox; they sweep the 2 games against the NYY and the Rays lose. This gives the Bosox a 3 game lead with 3 games left. Best case for the Rays; the Bosox lose both games and the Rays win, leaving a dead tie for the wildcard with 3 games left. Basically, the Rays have to win for them to have any chance. If they lose, Boston can lose both games and still be 1 game ahead. The Rays just cannot afford to lose. Even if Boston splits, a Rays loss leaves them 2 games back with just the 3 to play and then the Rays have to play the NYY while the Bosox draw the O's for the final 3 games. Advantage Boston. If Boston chokes the 2 games in NY today, and leave the weekend tied for the wildcard, they're toast. The momentum will be with the Rays, regardless of who they play in the final games. The pitching match-ups in todays games favor the Rays. They are throwing a 10 game winner, at home, against the Blue Jays who are throwing a 4 game winner. The Bosox go into the crucial doubleheader in NY with no better options than 7 game winner Wakefield (5.08 ERA) and 12 game winner Lackey (6.49 ERA!). I feel Boston will be fortunate to escape with a split. The Yanks are matching them with AJ (Gopher Ball) Burnett (10-11, 5.28 ERA
) against Wakefield and rookie sensation Nova (16-4, 3.62 ERA) against Lackey in the second game. Wakefield has the best chance for Boston. All this said, it is still crucial for the Rays to win if they realistically want to stay in the wildcard race. Well, that's the way I see it, anyway. Play ball! -- Al