Louis Badolato
Lieutenant General
- Joined
- Apr 25, 2005
- Messages
- 17,368
I agree with Peter that absent 6 fumbles and 2 interceptions, the Saints lose to the Vikings by at least 17 points. The Saints also don't win those 2 playoff games without getting away with taking cheap shots at very old quarterbacks (Kurt Warner and Brett Favre), injuring them, and getting them to make mistakes. Lets face it, when the league head of officials publically states that the ref's blew the call by failing to call an obvious roughing the passer on the play that resulted in the 1st (and most costly) of Farve's interceptions, you have to see the Saint's defense strategy is just hurt the quarterback at all costs.
That is, simply, not going to work against Peyton Manning. He reads blitzes better than any quarterback I have ever seen, and got sacked a total of 10 times during the entire regular season. He has not lost a single game he played all 60 minutes of (or had a reason to win) all year, going 16-0 in those games, including the playoffs. He just shredded the #1 ranked Jets defense for 31 points while they tried to Blitz him all game (and sacked him twice, way above the season average). He has 3 excellent wideouts (Reggie Wayne, Garcon and Colley) and Dallas Clark, the best receiving tight end in the league to throw to, and the Saints defense is iffy at best. I expect them to score virtually every time they touch the ball. Also, the Colts rarely turn the ball over, something the Saints defense admittedly depends on, as it does not have the talent to stop a top NFL offense.
I don't see the Saints running the ball effectively when the Colts stuffed the Jets #1 rushing attack in the AFC Championship Game. However, the Colts, absent a healthy Dwight Freeney, should not be able to stop the Saints passing attack, which should also move the ball effectively as well. However, the Colts have an excellent "bend but don't break" red zone defense.
I see this being a shootout. The key to the game for me is fieldgoals versus touchdowns, and making the fieldgoals attempted. I see the Colts defense holding the Saints to fieldgoal attempts on at least half of their red zone possessions, while I expect the Colts to score touchdowns on 75%+ of their red zone possessions. Also, if the game is close, and comes down to a last second or overtime fieldgoal attempt, I have a lot more confidence in the Colts experienced field goal kickers, then in the Saints rookie place kicker.
Prediction: Colts 35, Saints 23.
That is, simply, not going to work against Peyton Manning. He reads blitzes better than any quarterback I have ever seen, and got sacked a total of 10 times during the entire regular season. He has not lost a single game he played all 60 minutes of (or had a reason to win) all year, going 16-0 in those games, including the playoffs. He just shredded the #1 ranked Jets defense for 31 points while they tried to Blitz him all game (and sacked him twice, way above the season average). He has 3 excellent wideouts (Reggie Wayne, Garcon and Colley) and Dallas Clark, the best receiving tight end in the league to throw to, and the Saints defense is iffy at best. I expect them to score virtually every time they touch the ball. Also, the Colts rarely turn the ball over, something the Saints defense admittedly depends on, as it does not have the talent to stop a top NFL offense.
I don't see the Saints running the ball effectively when the Colts stuffed the Jets #1 rushing attack in the AFC Championship Game. However, the Colts, absent a healthy Dwight Freeney, should not be able to stop the Saints passing attack, which should also move the ball effectively as well. However, the Colts have an excellent "bend but don't break" red zone defense.
I see this being a shootout. The key to the game for me is fieldgoals versus touchdowns, and making the fieldgoals attempted. I see the Colts defense holding the Saints to fieldgoal attempts on at least half of their red zone possessions, while I expect the Colts to score touchdowns on 75%+ of their red zone possessions. Also, if the game is close, and comes down to a last second or overtime fieldgoal attempt, I have a lot more confidence in the Colts experienced field goal kickers, then in the Saints rookie place kicker.
Prediction: Colts 35, Saints 23.